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intervention coverage

Epidemiology of malaria transmission in neglected, semi-arid areas of Africa

Principal Investigator(s): 
Abdisalan Mohamed Noor

Unlike stable transmission settings in Africa the drivers of focal, heterogeneous infection and disease risks among the arid areas of Africa remain poorly defined. The populations in North West and North Eastern Kenya are poor, semi-nomadic groups with little acquired functional immunity to P. falciparum, marginalized by the 2001-09 national malaria strategy as they were assumed to be at no risk. Risks however, appear to be very focal concentrated in areas of seasonal water which also determines where people live. A more detailed empirical investigation of malaria risk, including susceptibility to P.

Modelling the changing infection risks and malaria burdens in Kenya

Principal Investigator(s): 
Bob Snow
Principal Investigator(s): 
Abdisalan Mohamed Noor

Kenya provides a unique set of opportunities to apply the principles of high-spatial resolution geo-statistical modelling with its rich prospectively collected national data on parasite prevalence, intervention coverage and associated covariates that relate to access to interventions and malaria risk. This work has already formed the basis of recent strategic planning for malaria control in Kenya and will be used to quantify the population-attributable infection risk reduction associated with scaled, spatially quantified intervention coverage to predict changing morbidity and mortality impact using appropriate epidemiological and burden of disease models for Kenya through to 2016.

Malaria Atlas Project – Africa

Principal Investigator(s): 
Bob Snow

We have produced the first ever empirical global map of P. falciparum risk using rigorous geo-statistical models of infection prevalence, remotely sensed proxies of climate and human settlement. Over 98% of the Plasmodium falciparum endemic world where transmission intensity exceeds 40% prevalence is located in Africa. Africa continues to bear the greatest global malaria disease burden. The MPHEG will continue to assemble temporally and spatially configured empirical information on malaria infection prevalence, intervention coverage and funding.